Assimilating Best Track Minimum Sea Level Pressure Data Together with Doppler Radar Data Using an Ensemble Kalman Filter for Hurricane Ike (2008) at a Cloud-Resolving Resolution          下载免费PDF全文

XUE Ming  DONG Jili 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2013,27(3):379-399

Extending an earlier study, the best track minimum sea level pressure (MSLP) data are assimilated for landfalling Hurricane Ike (2008) using an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), in addition to data from two coastal ground-based Doppler radars, at a 4-km grid spacing. Treated as a sea level pressure observation, the MSLP assimilation by the EnKF enhances the hurricane warm core structure and results in a stronger and deeper analyzed vortex than that in the GFS (Global Forecast System) analysis; it also improves the subsequent 18-h hurricane intensity and track forecasts. With a 2-h total assimilation window length, the assimilation of MSLP data interpolated to 10-min intervals results in more balanced analyses with smaller subsequent forecast error growth and better intensity and track forecasts than when the data are assimilated every 60 minutes. Radar data are always assimilated at 10-min intervals. For both intensity and track forecasts, assimilating MSLP only outperforms assimilating radar reflectivity (Z) only. For intensity forecast, assimilating MSLP at 10-min intervals outperforms radar radial wind (Vr) data (assimilated at 10-min intervals), but assimilating MSLP at 60-min intervals fails to beat Vr data. For track forecast, MSLP assimilation has a slightly (noticeably) larger positive impact than Vr(Z) data. When Vr or Z is combined with MSLP, both intensity and track forecasts are improved more than the assimilation of individual observation type. When the total assimilation window length is reduced to 1h or less, the assimilation of MSLP alone even at 10-min intervals produces poorer 18-h intensity forecasts than assimilating Vr only, indicating that many assimilation cycles are needed to establish balanced analyses when MSLP data alone are assimilated; this is due to the very limited pieces of information that MSLP data provide.  相似文献   

Effects of Urbanization on Extreme Warmest Night Temperatures During Summer near Bohai   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

LI Qingxiang  HUANG Jiayou 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2013,27(6):808-818

Many previous studies have focused on the impacts of urbanization on regional mean temperatures. Relatively few have analyzed changes in extreme temperatures. Here, we examine the impact of urbanization on extreme warmest night temperatures from 33 stations in the Bohai area between 1958 and 2009. We compute the Generalized Extreme Value（GEV） distribution of extreme warmest night temperatures and analyze long-term variations in its characteristic parameters. A new classification method based on the factor analysis of changes in extreme night temperatures is developed to detect the efects of urbanization in diferent cities. Of the three parameters that characterize the GEV distribution, the position parameter is the most representative of long-term changes in extreme warmest night temperatures. During the period of rapid urbanization（i.e., after 1978）, all three parameters of the GEV distribution are larger for the urban station group than for the reference station group, so are the magnitudes of their variations, and the urban areas have been experiencing higher extreme warmest night temperatures with larger variability. Diferent types of cities in the Bohai area have all experienced an urban heat island efect, with an average urbanization efect of approximately 0.3 per decade.  相似文献   

长江上游流域秋季连阴雨时空变化特征   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

陈晨  李波  雷东洋  李子进  夏羽 《气象与减灾研究》2015,38(2):22-26

利用长江上游259个气象站逐日降水资料,采用线性趋势分析方法,分析了近1961—2012年来长江上游流域秋季连阴雨的时空变化特征。结果表明,长江上游流域秋季连阴雨过程平均出现1.54次/a,其中9月出现次数最多,10月次之,11月出现较少。秋季连阴雨日数、累积降水量分别以2.3 d/(10 a)、13.7 mm/(10 a)的速率显著减少,连阴雨开始和结束日期平均为9月9日和9月30日均表现出推迟趋势。进入21世纪后,5—9 d、10 d以上连阴雨过程的次数、80.0 mm以上连阴雨过程的次数均表现出减少趋势。金沙江下游和四川盆地东部为秋季连阴雨累计雨量及其变化速率的大值中心,四川盆地西南部为连阴雨日数及其变化速率的大值中心。9月的降水中心、雨日分布情况与秋季总体情况基本一致,10月降水中心、阴雨日数的中心出现了明显东撤,11月东撤更为明显。  相似文献   

基于Trimble GPS的高速公路数据采集系统设计与开发     

杨世杰  韩井龙 《测绘信息与工程》2010,35(5):12-13

介绍了高速公路数据采集系统的设计和开发过程,采用了Trimble GPS Pathfinder Tools SDK 2.31和SQLite开源嵌入式数据库,实现了GPS数据接收和存储。  相似文献   

基于模糊推理的空间聚类方法研究     

刘庆清  邓羽  张文婷 《测绘信息与工程》2010,35(4):38-39

提出了基于模糊推理的空间聚类方法,给出了其实现步骤,并以实例验证了其可行性和科学性。  相似文献   

网络环境下城市公开版电子地图数据更新方法     

汪艳霞  任福 《测绘软科学研究》2010,(6):45-50,61

针对目前数据更新的研究落后于数据生产的现状以及广大用户对城市公开版电子地图的现势性的迫切需要,在已有研究成果的基础上,提出了网络环境下城市公开版电子地图数据更新的方法,并分析了数据更新周期的决定因子及其方式和周期,最后用实例加以证明。  相似文献   

基于文本的地理空间数据挖掘与可视化   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘元凤  周荣福  李凤玲 《测绘科学》2010,35(4):103-105

W eb文本挖掘在现今各行业中越来越受欢迎,而基于文本的地理空间数据的挖掘与可视化还是一个较新颖的研究领域。本文在综述文本数据挖掘研究现状的基础上,提出了基于传统文本的地理空间数据挖掘应用模型,利用Arcview作为构建模型的基础平台,实现了基于文本的地理信息的可视化和历史景点相关属性信息的查询。试验模型系统具有历史地物景点的分类、统计与显示查询等功能,并可以与现代景点进行对比分析。论文最后对此模型的不足作出分析,进而提出改进建议。  相似文献   

Influence of pore size and geometry on peat unsaturated hydraulic conductivity computed from 3D computed tomography image analysis     

F. Rezanezhad  W. L. Quinton  J. S. Price  T. R. Elliot  D. Elrick  K. R. Shook 《水文研究》2010,24(21):2983-2994

In organic soils, hydraulic conductivity is related to the degree of decomposition and soil compression, which reduce the effective pore diameter and consequently restrict water flow. This study investigates how the size distribution and geometry of air‐filled pores control the unsaturated hydraulic conductivity of peat soils using high‐resolution (45 µm) three‐dimensional (3D) X‐ray computed tomography (CT) and digital image processing of four peat sub‐samples from varying depths under a constant soil water pressure head. Pore structure and configuration in peat were found to be irregular, with volume and cross‐sectional area showing fractal behaviour that suggests pores having smaller values of the fractal dimension in deeper, more decomposed peat, have higher tortuosity and lower connectivity, which influences hydraulic conductivity. The image analysis showed that the large reduction of unsaturated hydraulic conductivity with depth is essentially controlled by air‐filled pore hydraulic radius, tortuosity, air‐filled pore density and the fractal dimension due to degree of decomposition and compression of the organic matter. The comparisons between unsaturated hydraulic conductivity computed from the air‐filled pore size and geometric distribution showed satisfactory agreement with direct measurements using the permeameter method. This understanding is important in characterizing peat properties and its heterogeneity for monitoring the progress of complex flow processes at the field scale in peatlands. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

A joint distribution of significant wave height and characteristic surf parameter     

Dag Myrhaug  Sébastien Fouques 《Coastal Engineering》2010

The paper provides a joint distribution of significant wave height and characteristic surf parameter. The characteristic surf parameter is given by the ratio between the slope of a beach or a structure and the square root of the characteristic wave steepness in deep water defined in terms of the significant wave height and the spectral peak period. The characteristic surf parameter is used to characterize surf zone processes and is relevant for e.g. wave run-up on beaches and coastal structures. The paper presents statistical properties of the wave parameters as well as an example of results corresponding to typical field conditions.  相似文献   

Variability of temperature,salinity and tidally‐averaged density in the middle estuary of the St Lawrence     

Langley R. Muir 《大气与海洋》2013,51(4):320-336

Abstract

Surveys in the Middle Estuary of the St Lawrence have yielded a data base consisting of more than 15,000 T‐S pairs distributed over 62 13‐h profiling stations. Although the T‐S curves at each station are remarkably linear, the variability of the slopes and intercepts of the lines is considerable. The means and standard deviations of the temperature and salinity at each individual station are not explicable in terms of linear combinations of the parameters for location in the Estuary, the upstream water properties, the phase of the spring‐neap cycle and the tidal energies.

It is shown that the tidally‐averaged density structure is separable into horizontal and vertical components and that its vertical variation over the whole Estuary may be explained by any one of three different functional forms. However, its horizontal variation is not explicable in terms of linear combinations of the parameters mentioned in the paragraph above.

Plots of the horizontal variations in temperature, salinity or density may only be meaningful if the data are collected synoptically, and even then cannot be considered to be accurate over time‐scales longer than one tidal cycle.  相似文献